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Prediction for CME (2023-09-01T03:24:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2023-09-01T03:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/26703/-1 CME Note: Bright, wide, and fast CME seen emanating to the west-northwest in SOHO LASCO C2 and STEREO A COR2 imagery in association with a long-duration M1.2-class solar flare from Active Region 13413 (N09W70) and significant eruptive signature consisting of rising and "snapping" plasma seen best in SDO 304, a fast EUV wave seen off the limb moving to the east, quickly and rapidly opening magnetic field lines off the west-northwestern limb in SDO 193 and SDO 171 as well as a post-eruptive arcade signature. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-09-03T12:50Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0 Prediction Method: Other (SIDC) Prediction Method Note: Lead Time: 41.92 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Chris Stubenrauch (M2M Office) on 2023-09-01T18:55Z |
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